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MM

MERIT MEDICAL SYSTEMS INC (MMSI)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered solid top-line and margin performance: revenue $355.4M (+9.8% YoY) and non-GAAP operating margin 19.3% (+229 bps YoY); non-GAAP EPS of $0.86 exceeded internal expectations and rose 14.8% YoY .
  • The company reaffirmed FY2025 revenue guidance ($1.47–$1.49B) but cut FY2025 non-GAAP EPS to $3.29–$3.42 (from $3.58–$3.70) to reflect the projected impact of newly implemented tariffs and trade actions; EPS headwind quantified at ~$26.3M COGS increase, largely China-related .
  • U.S. demand was strong (+14.8% YoY; +9% organic CC), while APAC was modestly softer with China weaker than planned due to macro factors (VBP in line); mix and pricing drove gross margin improvement to 53.4% non-GAAP .
  • Street comparison: MMSI beat S&P Global consensus on Q1 revenue ($355.35M vs $352.57M*) and EPS ($0.86 vs $0.75*), with 11 EPS and 10 revenue estimates in the sample; positive estimate revisions likely on the back of margin execution, tempered by tariff uncertainty. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Key catalysts ahead: reimbursement milestones for WRAPSODY (NTAP proposed for FY26; outpatient add-on path clarified) and continued CGI margin initiatives; near-term investor focus remains on tariff trajectory and mitigation timing .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Non-GAAP margin execution: non-GAAP operating margin hit 19.3% (+229 bps YoY), a first-quarter record; drivers were favorable mix, pricing, and lower freight/distribution costs .
  • U.S. growth and portfolio contributions: U.S. revenue +14.8% (CC +14.4%); acquired products (Cook lead management, EGS) contributed ~$15.8M to CC revenue (organic CC +6.0%) .
  • Management confidence and execution: “constant currency revenue, organic… total revenue and non-GAAP EPS exceeding the high-end of our expectations” (CEO); CGI initiatives underpin ongoing margin improvement .

What Went Wrong

  • EPS guidance cut due to tariffs: FY2025 non-GAAP EPS lowered to $3.29–$3.42, reflecting ~$26.3M tariff-driven COGS increase (94% tied to China; majority U.S.-to-China export retaliation) .
  • APAC/China softness: China underperformed Q1 guidance (actual -10% vs low single-digit growth assumed) due to broader macro; VBP was “in line” but demand was weaker than planned .
  • Free cash flow declined YoY: Q1 FCF was $19.5M (-20.5% YoY) on higher CapEx and working capital investments, though full-year FCF guidance remains ≥$150M .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$323.508 $339.8 $355.2 $355.351
GAAP EPS ($)$0.48 $0.49
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$0.75 $0.86 $0.93 $0.86
GAAP Gross Margin (%)46.9% 48.4%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (%)50.9% 50.9% 53.5% 53.4%
GAAP Operating Margin (%)11.1% 11.5%
Non-GAAP Operating Margin (%)17.0% 19.2% 19.6% 19.3%
GAAP Net Income ($USD Millions)$28.240 $30.147
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$38.0 $65.0 $19.5

Segment revenue (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024):

SegmentQ1 2024 ($M)Q1 2025 ($M)YoY %CC YoY %
Peripheral Intervention$130.066 $137.279 5.5% 6.8%
Cardiac Intervention$90.176 $99.741 10.6% 12.0%
Custom Procedural Solutions$48.523 $47.942 -1.2% -0.3%
OEM$44.609 $53.751 20.5% 20.7%
Cardiovascular Total$313.374 $338.713 8.1% 9.2%
Endoscopy Devices$10.134 $16.638 64.2% 64.4%
Total Company$323.508 $355.351 9.8% 10.9%

Geography (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024):

RegionQ1 2024 ($000)Q1 2025 ($000)$ ChangeYoY %CC YoY %
U.S.186,094 213,564 27,470 14.8% 14.4%
APAC62,865 62,562 (303) -0.5% 1.6%
EMEA61,006 63,285 2,279 3.7% 5.6%
Rest of World13,543 15,940 2,397 17.7% 29.3%
Total International137,414 141,787 4,373 3.2% 6.1%
Total323,508 355,351 31,843 9.8% 10.9%

KPIs and cash metrics:

KPIQ1 2024Q1 2025
Depreciation & Amortization ($M)23.6 29.3
Stock Comp (performance-based) ($M)2.1 4.8
Stock Comp (non-performance) ($M)3.1 4.3
Operating Cash Flow ($M)36.2 40.6
Capital Expenditures ($M)11.7 21.1
Free Cash Flow ($M)19.5
Cash & Equivalents ($M)581.9 395.5
Total Debt ($M)747.5

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net SalesFY 2025$1.470–$1.490B (8–10% YoY) $1.470–$1.490B (8–10% YoY) Maintained
Cardiovascular Segment SalesFY 2025$1.395–$1.413B (7–9%) $1.397–$1.415B (7–9%) Slightly Raised
Endoscopy Segment SalesFY 2025$74.6–$76.7M (36–40%) $73.0–$75.0M (34–37%) Lowered
Non-GAAP EPSFY 2025$3.58–$3.70 (4–7% YoY) $3.29–$3.42 (-5% to -1% YoY) Lowered
Constant Currency Net Sales YoY (%)FY 20258.6–10.1% 8.7–10.2% Slightly Raised
Free Cash FlowFY 2025≥$150M ≥$150M Maintained
Q2 Revenue Growth (GAAP)Q2 2025~8.6–11.1% New Quarterly
Q2 Non-GAAP EPSQ2 2025$0.80–$0.90 (vs $0.92 LY) New Quarterly

Management quantified tariff impact and associated modeling parameters: non-GAAP operating margin now ~17.6–18.0% (prior 19.4–19.7%); diluted shares ~61M; non-GAAP tax ~21%; non-GAAP interest & other expense net ~$4.8M .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024)Previous Mentions (Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Tariffs/MacroNo quantified headwind yet; FX hedging consistent; China VBP offset by unit growth Initial FY25 guide excluded tariff changes; operating margin guide 19.4–19.7% EPS guide cut; ~$26.3M COGS impact, 94% tied to China; mitigation roadmap (up to ~45% offset, timing into 2026) Deteriorated (new headwind)
China Demand/VBPChina -5.1% YoY; VBP pricing headwind offset by volume China +4% better than guidance; expecting modest APAC growth China -10% vs low single-digit growth assumed; softness macro, VBP in line Softer
Gross Margin/CGINon-GAAP GM 50.9%; CGI driving pricing/mix efficiencies Non-GAAP GM 53.5%; “kitchen sink” approach; operating margin up 305 bps Non-GAAP GM 53.4%; margin record for a first quarter; mix/pricing/freight efficiencies Sustained strength
WRAPSODY ReimbursementFiled NTAP; targeting TPT; clinical data awareness rising PMA approval Dec 2024; U.S. commercialization began Jan 2025 NTAP proposed (max $3,770 add-on; effective 10/1/2025 if finalized); outpatient add-on path clarified; TPT application targeted by 9/1/2025 Clearer path; timing pushed
OEM DynamicsQ3 OEM +8.5%; supply/logistics issues OUS; U.S. strong Q4 OEM +22%; U.S. strong; OUS supply chain challenges Q1 OEM +20.5%; U.S. demand strong; OUS variability; APAC macro softness Solid; lumpy OUS

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered better-than-expected financial performance in the first quarter, with our constant currency revenue, organic, our constant currency total revenue and our non-GAAP EPS exceeding the high-end of our expectations.” — Fred P. Lampropoulos (CEO) .
  • “Our gross margin was 53.4%, up 251 basis points… driven by favorable product and geographic revenue mix and improvements in pricing, freight and distribution costs.” — Raul Parra (CFO) .
  • “Our updated non-GAAP EPS expectations now reflect an incremental $26.3 million of tariff-related manufacturing costs… roughly 94%… related to retaliatory tariffs on goods exported from the U.S. into China.” — Raul Parra (CFO) .
  • “CMS is proposing to approve the WRAPSODY CIE for new technology add-on payments in fiscal year 2026... maximum add-on payment… $3,770.” — Fred P. Lampropoulos (CEO) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Tariffs mitigation: Management aims to offset up to ~45% of annualized tariffs via CGI initiatives (product line efficiencies, logistics, country-of-origin routing, Mexico inventory build); benefits largely in 2026 due to timing .
  • China: Demand softness attributed to macro; VBP consistent with expectations; full-year China outlook unchanged, with APAC growth modest .
  • Margin drivers: Gross margin strength from mix, pricing, operational efficiencies; CFO reiterated “kitchen sink” approach under CGI .
  • WRAPSODY reimbursement: NTAP proposed for inpatient; outpatient path clarified—APC assignment not awarded in proposed rule; using comment period and pursuing TPT by 9/1/2025 (effective 1/1/2026 if awarded) .
  • OEM cadence: Strong U.S. OEM; OUS variability tied to macro; FY view remains high single-digit OEM growth, acknowledging quarterly lumpiness .

Estimates Context

How Q1 results compared to S&P Global consensus:

  • Revenue: $355.351M actual vs $352.569M* consensus; beat by ~$2.8M. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Primary EPS (non-GAAP): $0.86 actual vs $0.75* consensus; beat by ~$$0.11. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Estimate sample: Revenue estimates: 11; EPS estimates: 10*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
MetricQ1 2025 ConsensusQ1 2025 Actual
Revenue ($USD Millions)352.57*355.35
EPS ($)0.75*0.86
# of Estimates (Revenue / EPS)11 / 10*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Implications: MMSI delivered a clean beat on both revenue and EPS, driven by margin expansion and U.S. strength; however, the EPS guide cut tied to tariffs tempers forward EPS trajectories and could cap multiple expansion near term .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Strong quarter operationally: non-GAAP margins and EPS beat internal expectations; U.S. growth broad-based; continued CGI execution supports structural margin expansion .
  • Tariff overhang is the near-term swing factor: FY EPS guidance reset embeds $26.3M tariff COGS impact; mitigation likely in 2026; watch policy headlines and management updates each quarter .
  • WRAPSODY reimbursement path clearer: NTAP proposed for FY26; outpatient add-on pursued via APC comment and TPT by 9/1/2025; expect FY25 contributions of $2–$4M as mix skews to inpatient; upside from FY26 add-ons .
  • Portfolio synergy and M&A: Cardiac/EP additions (Cook lead management) and Endoscopy (EGS) driving segment growth; synergies should aid mix and margin; monitor BioLife integration from Q2 .
  • FCF intact despite Q1 dip: Full-year ≥$150M FCF reiterated; CapEx step-up (new distribution center) near-term drag but efficiency benefits expected; net leverage manageable (~1.8x) .
  • Trading stance: Near-term stock reaction tied to tariff news flow vs sustained margin execution; constructive medium-term on CGI-driven margins, WRAPSODY adoption with add-on reimbursement, and portfolio leverage, but expect volatility around policy developments .